Guidance adjustment and market reaction
Boosted by the latest performance, American Express narrowed its 2025 earnings forecast to a range of $15.20 to $15.50 a share, up from the prior floor of $15. It now anticipates annual revenue growth between 9 percent and 10 percent, compared with the previous 8 percent to 10 percent bracket.
The outlook revision helped send the stock more than 6 percent higher in early afternoon trading, hovering near $343 and on course for a record closing level. Year to date, shares are up roughly 15 percent, outperforming the S&P 500’s 13 percent advance.
Affluent spending remains a key driver
The latest quarter confirms a pattern in which wealthier U.S. consumers continue to spend on travel, dining and luxury retail even as other demographic groups face pressure from higher borrowing costs. Management indicated that cardmembers with premium products are showing elevated retention rates and larger average transaction sizes, reinforcing the decision to invest in high-end benefits such as airport lounge access and statement credits for lodging and experiences.
Analysts tracking the sector note that American Express is less exposed to interest-rate-sensitive revolving balances than mass-market issuers, allowing it to benefit disproportionately from fee-based revenue. The company did not announce changes to its credit-loss provisioning, suggesting delinquency trends remain within expectations.
Competitive landscape and next steps
Rival networks have intensified efforts to attract affluent clients, but American Express continues to leverage its closed-loop model, which combines issuing, acquiring and network capabilities. That structure enables the firm to gather detailed spending data and tailor rewards accordingly. Squeri signaled that additional product refreshes could arrive in 2026, although he did not provide specifics.
The company will hold its customary investor day in the first quarter, when it is expected to outline long-term growth targets and capital allocation plans. Until then, management reiterated its commitment to maintaining a payout ratio consistent with historical norms while evaluating further share repurchases subject to economic conditions.
For ongoing updates about corporate earnings and broader market trends, visit our dedicated Finance News Update section.
Image credit: Silas Stein / picture alliance / Getty Images