Used-Car Prices Rose Sharply—but Have Since Moderated
The disagreement comes after an unusual period in the U.S. auto market. Data analytics firm iSeeCars reviewed pricing on more than 2.6 million three-year-old vehicles and found that the average used car now costs about $32,635, roughly $9,500 higher than in 2019. Supply shortages during the pandemic and high demand for pre-owned models pushed prices upward, a trend that counties across Virginia appear to have captured in their 2023–2024 assessments.
However, industry analysts note that the market has cooled from its peak. As inventory levels normalize and interest rates remain elevated, used-car prices have retreated from the record highs seen in late 2021 and early 2022. Martin argues that Amherst County is still taxing his vehicles as if peak conditions continue, leaving him—and potentially other residents—paying more than the vehicles are realistically worth.
The Math Behind Depreciation
Automotive insurance broker BrokerLink estimates that a new car loses about 20% of its value in the first year, 15% in the second and 12% in the third. Using that standard formula, a vehicle purchased for $45,000 would be expected to depreciate as follows:
• End of Year 1: $36,000
• End of Year 2: $30,600
• End of Year 3: $26,928
Under this calculation, Martin’s Toyota Sienna—originally priced in the mid-$40,000s—should be worth closer to $27,000 rather than the $42,200 figure on his county tax statement. Depreciation may be even steeper today: S&P Global Mobility reports that Americans are keeping their vehicles for an average of 12.8 years, the longest span on record, indicating that most cars continue to lose value well beyond their third year on the road.
Potential Impact on Other Virginia Drivers
Personal-property taxes on vehicles are levied at the county level in Virginia, and assessments are commonly based on data from national valuation guides. If those guides were slow to reflect the recent cooling in used-car prices, assessments across the state could be inflated. Martin fears that many residents will accept the higher valuations without question, unaware that an appeal process exists.
Virginia law allows taxpayers to contest vehicle assessments by providing documentation such as independent appraisals or published pricing estimates. Deadlines and procedures vary between localities. Martin says he plans to file an appeal, armed with printouts from the three pricing sites that show lower values for both his minivan and his pickup truck.
Broader Context: Rising Costs for Vehicle Owners
Escalating assessments arrive amid a broader cost squeeze for U.S. drivers. Insurance premiums have climbed after a surge in repair expenses, and elevated interest rates continue to push monthly loan payments higher for both new and used vehicle purchases. For households on tight budgets, an unexpected jump in property-tax liability can add further strain.
In Amherst County, tax rates have remained stable, but Martin argues that the underlying valuations have made the effective cost of vehicle ownership rise. He points to the nearly unchanged sticker price used by officials in valuing his minivan: “That’s the same number you’d expect if the van were sitting on a dealer lot brand-new,” he said.
Next Steps
Martin’s formal appeal will require the county to review its data sources and potentially adjust the assessed value if officials agree that the market has softened. Success could set a precedent for other residents to challenge their own bills, prompting a wider reassessment of how swiftly local governments update valuation models in a volatile market.
For now, Martin advises fellow Virginia drivers to check their tax statements against independent pricing tools before paying. “If something looks off, question it,” he said, adding that a few minutes of research could translate into meaningful savings on next year’s bill.
Crédito da imagem: ABC 13